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Europe’s future energy demand analysed

by | Sep 16, 2025 | Applied Science and Technology

Credit: Pamsimhaho, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

Electric mobility and stationary energy storage: strengthening local battery supply chains will require a substantial amount of energy in Europe.

Europe accounts for around 25% of global electric vehicle sales. Despite the high demand, only around 6.8% of the energy required for cell production is currently supplied in Europe. Most of the energy is imported in the form of materials and battery cells.

A team led by Professor Simon Lux (University of Münster and Fraunhofer Research Institution for Battery Cell Production, Germany) has now analysed the future energy requirements associated with the European Union’s goal of strengthening European battery supply chains.

In order to achieve self-sufficiency by 2050, the researchers predict the EU will have to meet an annual increase in energy demand for local battery cell production from the current level of around 3.5 terawatt hours (TWh) per year to 250TWh annually. This would only be possible if a well-developed recycling infrastructure were in place by then.

In addition, Europe would need 200 to 250TWh to charge electric vehicles and compensate for efficiency losses when discharging batteries for electric vehicles and stationary storage systems.

Nevertheless, the increasing energy demand for lithium- and sodium-ion batteries would be offset by 90TWh of upstream fossil fuel energy.

Lux said: “Strengthening local battery supply chains is crucial to reducing energy dependence, however it also requires the supply of significant amounts of energy in Europe.”

Disproportionate growth

Battery-based electricity demand is growing disproportionately compared to total electricity demand, which will require major investments in renewable electricity generation and the corresponding infrastructure.

It will also be crucial for Europe to maximise battery recycling rates and recycling efficiency to reduce import dependency and future energy demand.

The researchers assume that there will be significant recycling capacity in Europe – approximately 800 gigawatt hours of battery capacity are expected to be recycled annually from 2050 onwards.

This could reduce the energy required for battery production in Europe by 33% to 46%. However, the current recycling infrastructure is still in its early stages of development.

The researchers therefore conclude that European policymakers need to implement effective regulations that enable companies to develop viable and sustainable recycling capabilities.

The study is published in Energy & Environmental Science.

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