A Giant Asian forest scorpion (Heterometrus sp.) Credit: Andrew Downes, Xposure.

An international research team have shown how to predict world’s deadly scorpion hotspots to inform sting prevention.

The team has identified how to pinpoint and predict hotspots for some of the most dangerous species of scorpion in the world.

The researchers have established the key environmental conditions that determine where lethal, venomous arachnids thrive – findings that could help shine a light on flashpoints for scorpion stings in tropical regions across the globe.

The team of scientists used field observations in Africa combined with computer modelling to predict where dangerous scorpion species are most likely to be found and what factors influence their distributions.

Their analysis uncovered a striking pattern – soil type largely determines where most scorpions live, while temperature, both average and seasonal ranges, play a key role for some species.

Crucially, not all scorpions behave alike. Some are adaptable and widespread, while several others showed extremely restricted predicted distributions, suggesting narrow habitat requirements and localised risk zones.

Dr Michel Dugon, Head of the Venom Systems Lab at the University of Galway, with a Giant Asian forest scorpion (Heterometrus sp.) Credit: Andrew Downes, Xposure.

Saving lives

The research was conducted by an international team from the University of Galway, Ireland, in partnership with University Ibn Zohr in Morocco.

it focuses on central Morocco, one of the most severe global hotspots for scorpion stings, and aims to guide prevention strategies, as well as the development of new diagnostic tools and antivenoms.

Dr Michel Dugon, Head of the Venom Systems Lab at the University of Galway and senior author of the study, said: “The findings could save lives.

“By pinpointing where dangerous scorpions are most likely to appear, health authorities can target awareness campaigns, train frontline medical staff, and focus community prevention in high-risk areas, especially protecting children.

“The approach can be applied wherever scorpions pose a threat, from Brazil to the Middle East and India.”

A golden Moroccan scorpion (Buthus sp.) Credit: Dr Michel Dugon, University of Galway.

Maximum Entropy

Scorpion stings are a hidden global public health crisis, particularly across tropical and subtropical regions. Every year, more than two million people are stung.

While most stings cause pain and swelling, some species can deliver venom that leads to very severe illness and death, especially in children and older people.

Globally, scorpion stings are estimated to claim the lives of more than 3,000 children annually.

While antivenoms exist for a range of scorpion species, medical teams often struggle to identify which species is responsible, making timely, effective treatment difficult.

To address this issue, the researchers used a computer-mapping tool called Maximum Entropy to predict where dangerous scorpions live and what environmental conditions they prefer.

The analysis uncovered the striking patterns. Using globally available data on soil, temperature, and other habitat factors, the scientist demonstrates a way to pinpoint high-risk scorpion areas outside Morocco, including regions of the tropics where detailed species records are limited.

New tools

Dugon said: “Overall, we know very little about the ecology of scorpions, their venom and the best way to treat scorpion stings.

“Our international collaborative efforts aim to develop new tools for the prevention, diagnostic and treatment of scorpion stings globally.

This requires multidisciplinary teams including public health specialists, clinicians, zoologists and members of local communities.”

Fouad Salhi, doctoral researcher at the University Ibn Zohr of Agadir and first author of the study, said:“This research shows how biodiversity data can inform public health policies.

“By combining long-term fieldwork with ecological modelling, we were able to identify where dangerous scorpions are most likely to occur.

“We aim to have real-world impact – supporting prevention strategies, improving medical preparedness, and ultimately contribute to the reduction of the burden of scorpion stings, both in Morocco and beyond.”

The findings of the study are published in Environmental Research Communications.